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Red66
418123.5
779722.2
621716.0
Blue114
329124.0
130630.2
326729.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736905010015020025030066114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
49Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
66Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#41
23.51.8
22.320.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.7
End0.7
blue by 6.8
1306
#19
30.24.2
26.230.4
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
7797
#29
22.21.8
27.125.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End3.6
blue by 7.0
3267
#36
29.24.2
21.625.8
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
Third
6217
#37
16.01.8
19.818.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
blue by 8.0
3291
#44
24.04.2
13.717.9
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed