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Red100
173254.4
320630.0
218125.6
Blue66
265421.6
1049016.9
642120.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11081020406010012014016010066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
78Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
100Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.2
46.546.3
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
red by 32.8
2654
#30
21.61.8
27.525.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Second
3206
#15
30.00.2
18.318.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
red by 9.3
6421
#47
20.71.8
24.923.1
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Third
2181
#26
25.60.2
25.725.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.8
red by 8.7
16.91.8
18.917.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed