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Red72
851620.8
590335.4
465625.9
Blue65
329336.8
284619.0
723518.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918640601001201401607265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
72Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#33
35.41.4
29.528.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
blue by 1.4
3293
#12
36.81.5
33.932.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
Second
25.91.4
27.125.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9
red by 6.9
2846
#25
19.01.5
22.520.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
8516
#28
20.81.4
25.323.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End2.1
red by 1.9
7235
#45
18.81.5
19.217.7
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned