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Red71
657433.4
703813.3
812229.2
Blue86
460745.1
638119.0
474130.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85962040601201401607186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
59Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
71Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#13
33.40.4
31.531.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
blue by 11.7
45.10.6
38.639.2
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Second
8122
#34
29.20.4
31.030.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
blue by 1.4
4741
#16
30.50.6
23.524.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
Third
7038
#54
13.30.4
12.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 5.7
6381
#39
19.00.6
18.819.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed