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Red130
87652.2
214333.8
842235.2
Blue108
953224.0
252627.6
582626.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14272050100200130108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#17
73Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
107Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
130Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#1
52.20.1
51.651.6
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
red by 24.6
2526
#42
27.63.0
25.128.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Second
35.20.1
29.729.6
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
red by 8.9
5826
#38
26.33.0
17.320.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
Third
2143
#11
33.80.1
29.329.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 9.8
9532
#40
24.03.0
19.922.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed