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Qual 522025 Lake Superior Regional
Red107
631815.9
338116.5
284762.8
Blue146
161958.4
614743.3
469316.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8212150100150200107146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +10
18Coral scored#15
63Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
77Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points8
107Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#2
62.82.5
47.8→50.4
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 4.4
1619
#4
58.43.2
45.9→49.1
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Second
3381
#48
16.52.5
17.2→19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 26.8
6147
#5
43.33.2
38.6→41.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Third
6318
#43
15.92.5
11.4→13.9
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 0.5
4693
#27
16.43.2
16.1→19.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned