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Red74
957816.6
329427.1
467431.4
Blue104
565343.5
451117.9
310043.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769620406012014016018074104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
46Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
74Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
31.40.0
21.121.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
blue by 12.1
5653
#17
43.51.7
28.330.0
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
Second
3294
#24
27.10.0
22.822.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
blue by 15.9
3100
#10
43.01.7
35.637.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
Third
9578
#35
16.60.0
21.521.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 1.2
4511
#50
17.91.7
16.918.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed