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Red94
286140.2
282323.0
761926.4
Blue88
786420.5
558619.3
702847.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851022040601201401609488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
56Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
94Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#14
40.21.6
31.032.6
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
blue by 7.5
7028
#20
47.80.6
44.945.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
Second
7619
#21
26.41.6
23.625.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
red by 5.9
7864
#32
20.50.6
15.716.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
2823
#51
23.01.6
19.320.9
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
red by 3.7
5586
#53
19.30.6
22.422.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned