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Red80
621716.0
638119.0
590335.4
Blue55
851620.8
642120.7
779722.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70772040601001208055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
80Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#33
35.41.6
28.129.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
red by 13.2
7797
#29
22.21.9
25.323.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Second
6381
#39
19.01.6
19.421.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.9
blue by 1.8
8516
#28
20.81.9
23.922.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End2.1
Third
6217
#37
16.01.6
18.019.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
blue by 4.6
6421
#47
20.71.9
23.121.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed