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Red104
329336.8
465625.9
329124.0
Blue127
670928.9
474130.5
173254.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86111204060100120140160104127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+43
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
13Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
67Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
104Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#12
36.81.9
32.434.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
blue by 17.6
54.42.3
46.348.6
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
25.91.9
25.727.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9
blue by 4.6
4741
#16
30.52.3
24.026.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
Third
3291
#44
24.01.9
17.919.7
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
blue by 4.8
6709
#23
28.92.3
24.626.9
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed