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Red33
88368.8
1049016.9
582626.3
Blue86
723518.8
657433.4
326729.2
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559102040801001201403386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+41
Fouls+53
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
3Coral scored#12
9Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
15Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points12
33Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#38
26.32.4
20.317.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
blue by 7.1
6574
#13
33.40.7
31.030.3
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
Second
16.92.4
17.014.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.3
blue by 12.3
3267
#36
29.20.7
25.825.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
Third
8836
#52
8.82.4
11.99.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.1
blue by 10.0
7235
#45
18.80.7
17.717.0
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed