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Red86
130630.2
953224.0
320630.0
Blue153
252627.6
284762.8
614743.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761505010020025086153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
64Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
86Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#19
30.20.4
30.430.8
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 32.6
62.82.4
50.452.8
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
Second
3206
#15
30.00.4
18.118.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
blue by 13.3
43.32.4
41.744.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Third
9532
#40
24.00.4
22.823.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
blue by 3.6
2526
#42
27.62.4
28.130.5
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned