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Qual 592025 Lake Superior Regional
Red48
631815.9
327728.5
265421.6
Blue87
703813.3
467431.4
87652.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310540601201401604887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
33Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
48Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#31
28.52.3
29.5→27.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
blue by 23.7
876
#1
52.20.3
51.6→51.8
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
Second
2654
#30
21.62.3
25.7→23.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 9.8
4674
#18
31.40.3
21.0→21.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Third
6318
#43
15.92.3
13.9→11.6
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 2.6
7038
#54
13.30.3
12.1→12.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned