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Red115
161958.4
474130.5
851620.8
Blue81
582626.3
286140.2
451117.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857105010015020011581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+28Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
19Coral scored#9
69Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
83Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#5
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
115Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.44.3
30.735.0
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 18.2
2861
#14
40.21.0
20.821.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
4741
#16
30.54.3
19.523.7
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
red by 4.2
5826
#38
26.31.0
22.223.2
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
Third
8516
#28
20.84.3
23.527.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End2.1
red by 2.9
4511
#50
17.91.0
20.421.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed