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Red110
460745.1
786420.5
284762.8
Blue71
779722.2
401117.3
467431.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977305015020011071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
71Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
110Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.82.7
27.630.3
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 31.4
4674
#18
31.40.2
21.621.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Second
45.12.7
37.039.6
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
red by 22.9
7797
#29
22.20.2
20.720.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Third
7864
#32
20.52.7
18.421.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 3.2
4011
#49
17.30.2
24.024.2
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned