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Red56
469316.4
286140.2
957816.6
Blue85
761926.4
218125.6
460745.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801042040601201405685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
36Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
56Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#14
40.22.6
32.630.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
blue by 4.9
45.11.1
39.238.1
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Second
9578
#35
16.62.6
21.418.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 9.8
7619
#21
26.41.1
25.224.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
Third
4693
#27
16.42.6
19.316.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 9.2
2181
#26
25.61.1
25.524.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned