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Red86
252627.6
130630.2
88368.8
Blue122
638119.0
329124.0
173254.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611540608010014016086122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +33
12Coral scored#20
42Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
86Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#19
30.20.9
30.829.9
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 24.2
54.41.2
48.649.8
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
2526
#42
27.60.9
30.529.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
red by 3.5
3291
#44
24.01.2
19.721.0
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Third
8836
#52
8.80.9
9.58.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.1
blue by 10.2
6381
#39
19.01.2
21.022.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned