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Red40
558619.3
171433.3
265421.6
Blue75
851620.8
614743.3
812229.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971124060801201401604075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#7
21Coral points25
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
27Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
40Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#22
33.34.7
37.232.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1
blue by 9.9
43.32.2
44.142.0
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Second
2654
#30
21.64.7
23.318.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 7.5
8122
#34
29.22.2
29.627.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Third
5586
#53
19.34.7
24.419.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 1.4
8516
#28
20.82.2
22.019.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned