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Red96
282323.0
953224.0
327728.5
Blue69
284619.0
469316.4
451117.9
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8670204060801001201409669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
18Processor points0
12Net points12
30Algae points12
76Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
96Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#31
28.51.1
27.128.2
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
red by 9.5
2846
#25
19.00.3
22.322.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Second
9532
#40
24.01.1
23.224.3
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
red by 6.1
4511
#50
17.90.3
17.717.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.5
Third
2823
#51
23.01.1
22.423.4
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
red by 6.6
4693
#27
16.40.3
16.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed