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Red218
565343.5
320630.0
286140.2
Blue149
842235.2
326729.2
761926.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710050150200218149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
28Coral scored#23
102Coral points84
5Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
30Processor points18
28Net points16
58Algae points34
160Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
12Foul points6
218Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#17
43.59.0
31.340.4
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
red by 8.3
35.22.4
31.934.2
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
Second
2861
#14
40.29.0
30.039.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 11.0
3267
#36
29.22.4
25.127.4
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
Third
3206
#15
30.09.0
18.527.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
red by 3.6
7619
#21
26.42.4
24.126.4
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned