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Red130
401117.3
702847.8
642120.7
Blue77
418123.5
957816.6
703813.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10153020408012014016013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+53Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
73Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
36Foul points2
130Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
47.80.7
46.846.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
red by 24.3
4181
#41
23.50.7
21.822.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Second
6421
#47
20.70.7
21.220.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
red by 4.1
9578
#35
16.60.7
18.919.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
4011
#49
17.30.7
21.020.3
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
red by 4.0
7038
#54
13.30.7
12.313.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed