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Red122
319747.5
723518.8
218125.6
Blue179
161958.4
460745.1
214333.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90134406080100120140160180122179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+57
Endgame+69
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +47
21Coral scored#29
75Coral points104
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
6Processor points24
12Net points12
18Algae points36
93Total teleop140
Reef
6L4#14
5L3#7
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
12Foul points0
122Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.9
43.144.0
Auto7.2
Teleop38.0
End2.3
blue by 10.9
58.44.6
50.455.1
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Second
2181
#26
25.60.9
24.425.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.8
blue by 19.5
45.14.6
38.142.7
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Third
7235
#45
18.80.9
17.017.9
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 14.9
2143
#11
33.84.6
28.933.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned