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Red43
338116.5
621716.0
252627.6
Blue91
310043.0
465625.9
657433.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721134060801001201401601804391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
30Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points8
43Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#42
27.62.6
29.627.0
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
blue by 15.5
3100
#10
43.01.7
41.039.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
Second
3381
#48
16.52.6
19.216.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 16.9
6574
#13
33.41.7
30.628.9
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
Third
6217
#37
16.02.6
18.716.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
blue by 9.9
25.91.7
26.724.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned