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Red137
87652.2
284762.8
558619.3
Blue91
474130.5
88368.8
171433.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156735010020025013791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
91Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points6
137Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.5
58.858.3
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 29.5
1714
#22
33.30.2
32.532.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1
Second
876
#1
52.20.5
52.151.7
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
red by 21.7
4741
#16
30.50.2
30.330.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
Third
5586
#53
19.30.5
19.819.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 10.5
8836
#52
8.80.2
8.68.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed