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Red71
953224.0
670928.9
786420.5
Blue94
582626.3
265421.6
329427.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837602040601001201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points2
71Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6709
#23
28.90.3
28.928.7
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 1.7
3294
#24
27.12.4
24.827.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Second
9532
#40
24.00.3
24.324.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
blue by 2.3
5826
#38
26.32.4
23.926.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
Third
7864
#32
20.50.3
20.820.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 1.1
2654
#30
21.62.4
18.721.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned