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Red137
320630.0
326729.2
460745.1
Blue124
590335.4
161958.4
282323.0
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11712950100150200137124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +23
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
112Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
137Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.8
42.744.5
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
blue by 13.3
58.40.5
55.154.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Second
3206
#15
30.01.8
27.529.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
blue by 5.4
5903
#33
35.40.5
32.131.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
Third
3267
#36
29.21.8
27.429.2
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
red by 6.2
2823
#51
23.00.5
23.423.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed