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Red105
214333.8
702847.8
469316.4
Blue102
1049016.9
467431.4
329124.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12575204060100140160180105102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
68Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
105Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
47.80.0
46.146.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
red by 16.4
4674
#18
31.43.1
27.330.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Second
2143
#11
33.80.0
33.533.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 9.7
3291
#44
24.03.1
21.024.0
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Third
4693
#27
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 0.5
16.93.1
13.816.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned