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Red127
265421.6
87652.2
319747.5
Blue93
670928.9
214333.8
565343.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137119608010016018020012793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +37
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
98Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points2
127Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#1
52.20.1
51.751.7
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
red by 8.7
5653
#17
43.50.4
43.342.8
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
Second
47.50.1
46.947.0
Auto7.2
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 13.7
2143
#11
33.80.4
33.533.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
2654
#30
21.60.1
21.021.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 7.3
6709
#23
28.90.4
28.728.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8