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Red172
310043.0
590335.4
161958.4
Blue146
329336.8
842235.2
171433.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451106080100120160180200172146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points74
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
30Processor points12
16Net points24
46Algae points36
123Total teleop110
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#9
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
172Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.9
54.655.5
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 21.5
3293
#12
36.80.7
36.337.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
Second
3100
#10
43.00.9
39.340.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
red by 7.9
35.20.7
34.635.3
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
Third
5903
#33
35.40.9
31.632.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
red by 2.1
1714
#22
33.30.7
32.733.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1