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Red175
284762.8
657433.4
614743.3
Blue91
286140.2
467431.4
465625.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210140608012016018020017591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
103Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#5
12L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +84
2Foul points2
175Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.81.3
58.359.6
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 22.6
2861
#14
40.20.3
39.339.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
43.31.3
38.840.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
red by 11.9
4674
#18
31.40.3
30.430.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Third
6574
#13
33.41.3
28.930.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
red by 7.5
25.90.3
24.924.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9