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Red151
702847.8
812229.2
173254.4
Blue111
130630.2
252627.6
460745.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491156080100140160180200151111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+30Teleop
+50Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
69Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points12
151Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.7
52.753.4
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
red by 9.3
45.10.1
44.544.4
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Second
7028
#20
47.80.7
46.146.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
red by 17.5
1306
#19
30.20.1
30.330.2
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Third
8122
#34
29.20.7
27.528.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
red by 1.6
2526
#42
27.60.1
27.026.9
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1