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Red114
670928.9
214333.8
565343.5
Blue107
329336.8
842235.2
171433.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212490100110130140150160170114107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
66Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
114Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#17
43.50.3
42.843.1
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
red by 6.6
3293
#12
36.80.1
37.036.8
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
Second
2143
#11
33.80.3
33.133.4
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
blue by 1.4
35.20.1
35.335.2
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
Third
6709
#23
28.90.3
28.228.5
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
blue by 4.5
1714
#22
33.30.1
33.533.3
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1