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Red144
286140.2
467431.4
465625.9
Blue130
320630.0
252627.6
460745.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312680100120140160180144130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+16
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
19Coral scored#24
68Coral points86
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
88Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#13
5L3#7
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#31
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
144Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#14
40.21.4
39.040.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
blue by 4.9
45.10.7
44.445.1
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Second
4674
#18
31.41.4
30.231.6
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
red by 1.4
3206
#15
30.00.7
29.330.0
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
Third
25.91.4
24.726.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9
blue by 1.7
2526
#42
27.60.7
26.927.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1