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Red174
327683.0
472870.0
674929.9
Blue108
702856.7
753020.3
725756.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19713550100150250174108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
109Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +66
2Foul points0
174Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.3
83.283.0
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 26.4
56.70.6
58.057.3
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
70.00.3
70.169.9
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 13.9
7257
#12
56.00.6
57.356.7
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
Third
6749
#16
29.90.3
30.129.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 9.6
7530
#28
20.30.6
21.620.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3