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Red186
327683.0
472870.0
674929.9
Blue106
702856.7
753020.3
725756.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19713250100150250186106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+80Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +73
28Coral scored#9
101Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
123Total teleop50
Reef
14L4#3
11L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
186Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.1
83.083.0
Auto12.2
Teleop59.0
End11.8
red by 26.4
56.70.6
57.356.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Second
70.00.1
69.970.0
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 13.9
7257
#12
56.00.6
56.756.0
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
Third
6749
#16
29.90.1
29.829.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 9.6
7530
#28
20.30.6
20.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3