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Red96
305840.1
706826.4
703822.9
Blue31
38487.0
422615.8
327823.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827402040601001201409631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
69Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
96Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.4
31.833.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 17.1
3278
#41
23.13.3
19.215.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End0.1
Second
7068
#33
26.41.5
24.926.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 10.6
4226
#27
15.83.3
21.117.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Third
7038
#24
22.91.5
13.314.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 15.9
3848
#48
7.04.2
20.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed