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Red149
757834.5
702856.7
534847.8
Blue105
710336.4
472870.0
514312.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110750150200149105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
79Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
24Foul points0
149Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.3
47.847.5
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
blue by 13.3
70.00.3
66.366.0
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
Second
47.80.3
42.742.4
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
red by 11.4
7103
#18
36.40.3
19.419.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
Third
7578
#15
34.50.3
31.531.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 21.7
5143
#36
12.80.4
17.316.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned