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Red85
416610.8
472870.0
706826.4
Blue86
448015.7
837220.8
250940.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117600501001502008586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
58Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points14
85Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.01.4
66.064.7
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 30.0
2509
#32
40.00.9
30.331.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Second
7068
#33
26.41.4
26.425.1
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
red by 5.6
8372
#23
20.81.2
18.419.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
Third
4166
#46
10.81.4
9.17.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 4.9
4480
#40
15.70.9
12.813.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned