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Red62
38487.0
662814.7
837220.8
Blue85
674929.9
448015.7
534847.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579102040801001201406285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
62Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8372
#23
20.81.2
19.518.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End4.5
blue by 27.0
47.80.9
43.642.7
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
6628
#39
14.71.2
18.116.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 15.2
6749
#16
29.91.4
22.220.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
3848
#48
7.01.2
17.516.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
blue by 8.7
4480
#40
15.70.9
13.712.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned