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Red120
617535.6
302635.4
818832.2
Blue133
422615.8
825540.1
250940.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9190100110120130120133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
12Processor points18
4Net points12
16Algae points30
97Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
120Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#14
35.63.3
23.727.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.6
End2.1
blue by 4.6
8255
#11
40.13.5
29.633.0
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
Second
3026
#13
35.42.2
25.027.3
Auto6.5
Teleop23.6
End5.3
blue by 4.6
2509
#32
40.03.5
31.134.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Third
8188
#34
32.22.2
27.730.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
red by 16.4
4226
#27
15.83.5
16.720.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned