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Red111
250326.7
288349.5
858618.7
Blue49
504132.0
514312.8
888713.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096005015020011149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +61
18Coral scored#6
64Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
86Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points6
111Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.0
47.148.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 17.5
5041
#30
32.01.6
32.731.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
Second
2503
#35
26.71.5
24.125.6
Auto3.5
Teleop20.8
End2.3
red by 13.3
8887
#42
13.42.4
11.69.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
8586
#45
18.71.0
20.321.3
Auto2.5
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 5.9
5143
#36
12.82.4
15.412.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed