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Red70
418218.0
842234.2
266729.0
Blue151
725756.0
565832.4
416610.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018305015020025070151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+75
Endgame+69
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points60
0Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
0Processor points30
12Net points16
12Algae points46
42Total teleop106
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#31
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points12
70Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8422
#10
34.22.0
35.633.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
blue by 21.8
7257
#12
56.03.9
43.347.2
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End6.0
Second
2667
#43
29.02.0
28.826.8
Auto5.4
Teleop20.6
End3.0
blue by 3.4
32.43.9
22.025.9
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End4.7
Third
4182
#22
18.02.9
17.814.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 7.2
4166
#46
10.83.9
7.811.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed