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Red136
753020.3
674929.9
604557.7
Blue73
624422.8
253818.5
423928.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096505010015013673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+63Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
111Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
2Foul points6
136Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#20
57.71.6
51.553.0
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
red by 29.1
4239
#37
28.61.1
24.923.8
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Second
6749
#16
29.92.6
20.823.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 7.1
6244
#47
22.81.1
15.914.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Third
7530
#28
20.31.6
22.023.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.3
red by 1.8
2538
#31
18.50.7
19.018.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed