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Red114
702856.7
887818.7
825540.1
Blue80
38487.0
250940.0
285530.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117845010015020011480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
65Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
114Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.7
51.151.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End9.1
red by 16.7
2509
#32
40.00.0
34.634.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
Second
8255
#11
40.10.7
33.033.7
Auto5.8
Teleop29.8
End4.5
red by 9.2
2855
#29
30.90.0
29.529.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
8878
#26
18.70.7
19.920.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
red by 11.7
3848
#48
7.00.0
16.316.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned