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Red99
703822.9
888713.4
710336.4
Blue90
423821.3
504132.0
448015.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52690204060801001201409990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
79Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
99Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#18
36.42.7
20.523.2
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
red by 4.4
5041
#30
32.01.4
31.132.5
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.8
Second
7038
#24
22.92.7
16.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 1.6
4238
#21
21.31.4
14.616.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End2.9
Third
8887
#42
13.44.5
9.213.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 2.3
4480
#40
15.71.4
12.814.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed