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Red184
767724.5
472870.0
288349.5
Blue46
858618.7
818832.2
416610.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16657010015020025018446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+112Teleop
+132Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +95
25Coral scored#6
91Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
131Total teleop36
Reef
12L4#2
6L3#2
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#9
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +138
6Foul points0
184Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.01.6
67.268.8
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
red by 37.8
8188
#34
32.22.3
30.027.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Second
49.51.6
48.149.7
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
red by 30.8
8586
#45
18.72.3
21.319.1
Auto2.5
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
7677
#38
24.51.6
22.624.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 13.8
4166
#46
10.82.3
11.69.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed