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Red103
785839.9
710336.4
423821.3
Blue46
662814.7
422615.8
288349.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751075015020010346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+59Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +72
18Coral scored#4
64Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
92Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
103Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7858
#17
39.93.4
33.036.4
Auto8.3
Teleop30.6
End1.0
blue by 9.6
49.52.9
49.746.8
Auto9.5
Teleop35.1
End4.9
Second
7103
#18
36.42.1
23.225.3
Auto10.1
Teleop24.5
End1.9
red by 20.6
4226
#27
15.82.9
21.919.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Third
4238
#21
21.32.1
16.018.1
Auto3.2
Teleop15.1
End2.9
red by 6.5
6628
#39
14.74.8
17.312.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed