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Red101
888713.4
327823.1
250940.0
Blue151
604557.7
534847.8
624422.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67135050100150200101151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+60
Endgame+62
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +63
12Coral scored#23
43Coral points84
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
61Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
12Foul points0
101Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#32
40.00.4
35.435.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.9
blue by 17.7
6045
#20
57.71.3
51.052.4
Auto7.4
Teleop48.8
End1.5
Second
3278
#41
23.10.4
17.317.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.0
End0.1
blue by 24.7
47.81.3
40.341.6
Auto9.5
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Third
8887
#42
13.40.6
9.710.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 9.4
6244
#47
22.82.2
15.818.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed