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Red70
818832.2
514312.8
448015.7
Blue139
842234.2
460768.4
887818.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6115605010020070139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +44
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
46Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
2Foul points0
70Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#34
32.20.3
28.328.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.0
End2.0
blue by 36.2
68.40.1
67.567.4
Auto14.1
Teleop47.2
End7.1
Second
4480
#40
15.70.3
14.914.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 18.5
8422
#10
34.20.1
33.833.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End9.3
Third
5143
#36
12.80.5
10.510.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.9
8878
#26
18.70.1
18.518.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned