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Red76
767724.5
617535.6
285530.9
Blue120
674929.9
423928.6
472870.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961415020076120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
62Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
76Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#14
35.61.7
33.832.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.6
End2.1
blue by 34.4
70.00.1
71.171.0
Auto11.2
Teleop50.4
End8.4
Second
2855
#29
30.91.0
30.229.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
red by 1.0
6749
#16
29.90.2
24.524.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
7677
#38
24.51.0
24.523.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 4.0
4239
#37
28.60.2
23.423.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed